The barn door is wide open – and the federal government is concerned. Last
week, a Treasury Department official warned legislators that steps need
to be taken to reduce the likelihood that a "systemic risk event" could
occur in "the private equity pools of capital industry."
In other words – government-speak aside – if hedge funds tumble the economy could suffer catastrophic consequences. That should wipe the smiles off of a few faces. After
all, hedge funds have been Wall Street's superstars, rising to
unparalleled prominence in the wake of the dot com disaster and helping
to fuel an economy that has risen with investor confidence. Is another bubble about to burst?
The government's cautionary thoughts were offered by Treasury Under Secretary for Domestic Finance, Robert Steel on July 11, 2007, in testimony before the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Financial Services. While
recognizing the "many benefits" that hedge funds and other private
investment vehicles bring to the capital markets, Mr. Steel acknowledged
that "the growing size and scope of private pools of capital merit
appropriate attention, particularly given possible challenges posed by
private pools in areas of investor protection and the potential for
systemic risk."
The Secretary's remarks
seem timely considering recent tumult at hedge funds, led by the
disastrous demise of two Bear Stearns hedge funds that bet on the sub
prime mortgage market and lost big. But
while the observations may be opportune, efforts to address "systemic"
problems may be far too late to help investors who have, or are about to
feel the effects of improvident hedge fund positions.
As StockPatrol.com recently pointed out, the Bear Stearns fund failures may simply be the opening act. See, Is The Sky Falling? Sub
prime mortgages may continue to drag fund values downward – but they
represent only one of the myriad illiquid investments that hedge funds
have found so appealing. Consider this thought from Under Secretary Steel:
Innovations
in financial products, such as complex derivatives and other structured
products are expanding the ways in which market participants, such as
hedge funds, can apply leverage. A concentration of market positions and
high leverage may lead to market disruptions and illiquidity if traders
simultaneously unwind their positions. Consistent with the growing
complexity and often illiquid nature of these innovative products is the
difficulty in valuing these securities.
Hedge fund managers are typically rewarded based upon fund value, so inflated asset values can trigger higher fees. Since
illiquid assets, by definition, have scant independent market, fund
managers have had the luxury of placing high arbitrary values on them,
and whistling in the dark while the economy remained strong. As
the investing public is rapidly learning, hedge funds increase their
value by borrowing additional money and using their portfolios –
including shaky illiquid holdings like sub prime mortgages – as
collateral.
As Under Secretary of
Steel advised Congress, hedge funds have proliferated at an astonishing
pace, doubling over the past five years, capturing an estimated 50% of
current trading volume, and accounting for approximately $1.4 trillion
in assets. The Under Secretary
lauded hedge funds as "significant providers of liquidity in our
marketplace, making our markets attractive to investors," but with this
caveat: "The scale, complexity
and dynamic nature of these business models and their investment
strategies emphasize why we believe heightened vigilance is necessary.
Managers are now relying more heavily on the use of leverage,
transaction volumes are increasing, and the impact of hedge funds on
markets continues to grow."
The Under Secretary
outlined a goal of "mitigating the potential for systemic risk in
financial markets and protecting investors" and, in so doing, hit upon
an issue that is likely to resonate in the future. As StockPatrol.com noted on June 26th, "with
cash flowing freely in recent years, a broad range of investors have
jumped into hedge funds and their promise of even greater riches. Institutional
investors, including pension funds and endowments reportedly have
increased their investments in hedge funds and other less liquid
instruments."
The government would appear to be painfully aware of that trend. As
Under Secretary Steele noted, "some concerns exist about indirect
exposure of less sophisticated investors to hedge funds through their
pension fund investments." Consequently,
he pointed out, "investment fiduciaries, such as pension funds
managers, have a responsibility to perform due diligence to ensure that
their investment decisions on behalf of their beneficiaries and clients
are prudent and conform to established sound practices consistent with
their responsibilities."
The federal government,
according to this testimony, encourages hedge funds to provide
accurate, timely information to investors. But,
in a nod to hedge fund managers, who thus far have avoided many of the
rigors of regulation, he stopped short of urging full disclosure. "[T]his
need for transparency and disclosure should not go so far as to
materially discourage innovation in the marketplace. There needs to be
some balance regarding disclosure. For example, we need to respect
sensitive proprietary information, and individual positions should not
necessarily be expected to be disclosed."
Is that enough? Without detailed disclosure, including the nature of positions and the method of valuation, investors will remain in the dark. The extent of proprietary positions or investor concentration can be a critical element of the due diligence process. Participants
in the Horizon ABS Fund may have been far less sanguine about the
liquidity of their money if they had been aware that a single investor
accounted for a quarter of the fund's purported $650 million in assets.
The government appears
to see the potential pitfalls and problems – and to recognize that
regulators have the ability to check abuses under existing anti-fraud
statutes. But those laws often
address failure to disclose material information – and hedge funds are
subject to few traditional disclosure obligations.
We would appear to be well past the time for studies and commissions
or a protracted process that ignores the urgency of the situation. Until
transparency means investors get a clear, unobstructed view of hedge
fund investments, the picture will remain opaque, as will the prospect
of that "systemic event" the Under Secretary fears.
Hartley T. Bernstein is a corporate and securities attorney and civil
litigator with a specialty in business transactions and civil
litigation.
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